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Texas Instruments Incorporated
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
Strong business, analyst optimism unconfirmed
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3 of 5 met · composite in line with peers
Business quality, valuation against the sector, and position in the 52-week range — whether they line up or not.
Stable quality
Profitability
4/4
Debt & liquidity
2/3
Efficiency
1/2
FCF grew 257.5% year over year — +813% above the sector median — which is the sharpest single fact about where TXN stands today. Operating margin of 34.1% runs +17% above the sector median, and the current ratio of 4.35 leaves the balance sheet in solid shape, well above the median 1.30. EPS growth, however, tells a different story: at 4.8%, it trails the sector median by -85%, and the F-Score of 7/9 flags efficiency as the one area where the business has not kept pace. The forward picture adds a layer of caution — consensus models a meaningful earnings recovery, yet the realized three-year EPS CAGR per SEC filings runs well short of what analysts are pricing in, a gap the literature associates with systematic optimism. P/B at 14.6× sits +47% above the sector median, so the market is already paying a premium for a business whose near-term earnings growth has lagged.
| Ticker | Name | F-Score | ROE | Revenue YoY | Op. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | Apple | 8/9 | 171% | +6% |
Quarter-by-quarter classification · a retrospective read by the current logic · not a price forecast
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice. The method did not see these quarters in real time; this is the current logic applied to past reports.
The market prices in earnings growth; analyst sentiment is strengthening; has not always beaten consensus.
Price against next year's expected earnings. The forward P/E already carries analyst optimism — read it alongside the “Versus consensus” line.
A forward P/E below the current one means the market expects earnings to grow; above it, to fall. The historical growth is realized figures from SEC filings, not a forecast.
The three-month change in the share of positive analyst ratings. This is sentiment, not an earnings-estimate revision, and not a call to act.
When TXN reports on 2026-10-19, track whether EPS growth narrows its 85% gap below the sector median and whether FCF growth sustains its current 28.2% pace. A recovery in the efficiency score — currently 1/2 — would signal improving asset turnover alongside the strong 29.2% operating margin.
In the annual report, focus on management's discussion of capital allocation given the P/B of 9.93×, which sits 47% above the sector median. Check the disclosures on inventory cycles and capacity investment, both of which directly affect the efficiency signals the F-Score flags as incomplete.
From the alphabetical same-sector table in section 06, pick two or three companies yourself and line up one metric — operating margin, current ratio, or P/B — against TXN's figures. No entry in that table is ranked; the exercise is to place TXN's 1.30 current ratio and 9.93× P/B in a broader sector context of your own choosing.
Steps you can check yourself, based on the figures in this brief.
Piotroski F-Score: nine binary tests of financial strength from the annual report. A ✓ marks a test passed, a dot (·) a test failed.
Over 4 years: -6%-77%+11%+74%
Over 4 years: 0.741.251.841.71
Over 4 years: +9%-13%-11%+13%
The context on the right shows how each figure compares with the sector median. The trend below tracks the change over recent fiscal years.
Beat consensus in 7 of 8 recent quarters — the company clears estimates regularly (consensus is often set conservatively).
Last quarter's EPS against consensus, plus the estimated date of the next report.
| 32% |
| ACN | Accenture | 4/9 | 26% | +7% | 15% |
| ADBE | Adobe | 7/9 | 55% | +11% | 37% |
| AMAT | Applied Materials | 6/9 | 36% | +4% | 29% |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | 7/9 | 7% | +34% | 11% |
| AVGO | Broadcom | 7/9 | 43% | +24% | 40% |
| CRM | Salesforce | 7/9 | 12% | +10% | 20% |
| CSCO | Cisco | 8/9 | 22% | +5% | 21% |
| IBM | IBM | 6/9 | 35% | +8% | — |
| INTC | Intel | 6/9 | -0% | -0% | -4% |
| INTU | Intuit | 8/9 | 20% | +16% | 26% |
| MSFT | Microsoft | 6/9 | 34% | +18% | 47% |
| NOW | ServiceNow | 4/9 | 15% | +21% | 14% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA | 3/9 | 101% | +65% | 60% |
| ORCL | Oracle | 5/9 | 54% | +17% | 31% |
| TXN | Texas Instruments Incorporated | 7/9 | 30% | +13% | 34% |
A sample of 16 companies in the sector including the target, alphabetical, unranked. Data from the latest SEC annual reports.
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
A simplified retrospective read: no analyst forecast (not available historically); the source is the annual report as of the date, so neighbouring quarters can rest on the same data. Quarters with the same classification in a row are merged into one row — each row is one change in the read, not a separate quarter. One ticker is an illustration of the classification logic, not statistics. How we calculate →
The last few quarters are recent context, not a fixed rate. Consensus for near quarters is set low, so companies clear it routinely; over long horizons the forecasts run the other way, too high.
A description of what the market and analysts expect. Not a price forecast and not investment advice. Analyst forecasts run systematically optimistic over long horizons — read them with that discount.