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Union Pacific Corporation
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
Signals scattered
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Data: SEC EDGAR filings · prices Marketstack · estimates Finnhub · updated 11 Jul 2026, 02:27 UTC
2 of 5 met · composite in line with peers
Business quality, valuation against the sector, and position in the 52-week range — whether they line up or not.
Stable quality
1 signal unavailable
Profitability
4/4
Debt & liquidity
3/3
Efficiency
0/2
Operating margin at 40.2% — +143% above the sector median — marks the clearest strength in this profile, and the F-Score of 7/9 confirms that profitability and balance-sheet signals are broadly sound. Valuation tells a different story: P/B of 9.2× runs +131% above the sector median of 4.0×, and the current ratio of 0.91 sits -24% below the sector median of 1.20, placing liquidity in the bottom quartile of the Industrials sector. The forward PEG is stretched, and the beat rate over eight quarters is weak — consensus models a recovery that the realized three-year EPS CAGR from SEC filings has not yet delivered, a gap that fits the documented tendency for analyst forecasts to run about 10% optimistic. The composite of 41/100 against the sector median reflects those mixed signals: a high-quality operator carrying a price and a debt structure that leave limited room for error.
| Ticker | Name | F-Score | ROE | Revenue YoY | Op. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BA | Boeing | 6/9 | 289% | +34% |
Quarter-by-quarter classification · a retrospective read by the current logic · not a price forecast
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice. The method did not see these quarters in real time; this is the current logic applied to past reports.
The market prices in earnings growth; analyst sentiment is steady; has mostly beaten consensus.
Price against next year's expected earnings. The forward P/E already carries analyst optimism — read it alongside the “Versus consensus” line.
A forward P/E below the current one means the market expects earnings to grow; above it, to fall. The historical growth is realized figures from SEC filings, not a forecast.
The three-month change in the share of positive analyst ratings. This is sentiment, not an earnings-estimate revision, and not a call to act.
When UNP reports on July 23, 2026, track operating margin against its current 16.5% — already 2.4× the sector median. Also watch whether EPS growth holds after a 347%-above-median YoY reading, which may reflect a low prior-year base rather than a durable trend.
UNP's F-Score flags zero points on efficiency and a current ratio 24% below the sector median at 1.20. In the 10-K, focus on management's discussion of asset turnover, capital expenditure plans, and how short-term obligations are managed relative to operating cash flow.
Pick two or three companies from the alphabetical industrials table in section 06 and line up one metric — P/B at 4.00× or operating margin at 16.5% are natural starting points. No entry in that table is ranked; the exercise is to place UNP's figures in a fuller sector context of your own choosing.
Steps you can check yourself, based on the figures in this brief.
Piotroski F-Score: nine binary tests of financial strength from the annual report. A ✓ marks a test passed, a dot (·) a test failed.
Over 4 years: -6%-17%+23%-7%
Over 4 years: 2.742.862.582.58
Over 4 years: +14%-3%+1%+1%
The context on the right shows how each figure compares with the sector median. The trend below tracks the change over recent fiscal years.
Beat consensus in 5 of 8 recent quarters — a mixed record.
Last quarter's EPS against consensus, plus the estimated date of the next report.
| 5% |
| CAT | Caterpillar | 7/9 | 44% | +4% | 16% |
| CSX | CSX | 5/9 | 23% | -3% | 32% |
| DE | Deere | 5/9 | 21% | -12% | — |
| EMR | Emerson Electric | 7/9 | 11% | +3% | — |
| ETN | Eaton | 6/9 | 22% | +10% | — |
| GD | General Dynamics | 8/9 | 18% | +10% | 10% |
| GE | GE Aerospace | 5/9 | 46% | +18% | — |
| HON | Honeywell | 5/9 | 29% | +8% | 22% |
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works | 6/9 | 94% | +1% | 26% |
| LMT | Lockheed Martin | 6/9 | 77% | +6% | 10% |
| MMM | 3M | 5/9 | 76% | +2% | 19% |
| RTX | RTX | 7/9 | 11% | +10% | 10% |
| UNP | Union Pacific Corporation | 7/9 | 40% | +1% | 40% |
| UPS | UPS | 4/9 | 34% | -3% | 9% |
A sample of 15 companies in the sector including the target, alphabetical, unranked. Data from the latest SEC annual reports.
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
A simplified retrospective read: no analyst forecast (not available historically); the source is the annual report as of the date, so neighbouring quarters can rest on the same data. Quarters with the same classification in a row are merged into one row — each row is one change in the read, not a separate quarter. One ticker is an illustration of the classification logic, not statistics. How we calculate →
The last few quarters are recent context, not a fixed rate. Consensus for near quarters is set low, so companies clear it routinely; over long horizons the forecasts run the other way, too high.
A description of what the market and analysts expect. Not a price forecast and not investment advice. Analyst forecasts run systematically optimistic over long horizons — read them with that discount.