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Walmart Inc.
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
Weak signals across every dimension
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1 of 5 met · composite in line with peers
Business quality, valuation against the sector, and position in the 52-week range — whether they line up or not.
Stable quality
Profitability
4/4
Debt & liquidity
2/3
Efficiency
1/2
Revenue growth of 4.7% — +110% above the sector median of 2.3% — is the clearest number working in Walmart's favor, and the balance sheet reinforces it: Debt/EBITDA of 0.8× sits -65% below the sector median, leaving the company with room to maneuver. The F-Score of 7/9 reflects steady fundamentals, with profitability scoring a clean sweep. Price is the friction point: EV/EBITDA of 21.3× runs +62% above the sector median of 13.1×, and FCF yield of 1.5% trails the sector median of 4.7% by -68%, so the market is pricing in continued execution at a premium. Consensus and the realized three-year EPS CAGR from SEC filings are broadly aligned here, which is less common than it sounds — though the forward PEG reads as stretched, meaning the growth embedded in the price leaves little margin if momentum slows.
| Ticker | Name | F-Score | ROE | Revenue YoY | Op. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CL | Colgate-Palmolive | 5/9 | 1 603% |
Quarter-by-quarter classification · a retrospective read by the current logic · not a price forecast
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice. The method did not see these quarters in real time; this is the current logic applied to past reports.
The market prices in earnings growth; analyst sentiment is steady; has mostly beaten consensus.
Price against next year's expected earnings. The forward P/E already carries analyst optimism — read it alongside the “Versus consensus” line.
A forward P/E below the current one means the market expects earnings to grow; above it, to fall. The historical growth is realized figures from SEC filings, not a forecast.
The three-month change in the share of positive analyst ratings. This is sentiment, not an earnings-estimate revision, and not a call to act.
When Walmart reports on 2026-11-19, track whether revenue growth YoY holds above the sector median of 2.25% and whether EPS growth sustains its current edge. The F-Score efficiency block scored 1/2, so watch asset turnover and gross margin direction as early signals of any operational drift.
Pull Walmart's most recent 10-K on SEC EDGAR and focus on the sections covering competitive pricing pressure and capital allocation. FCF yield sits 68% below the sector median at 4.66%, so management's commentary on capital expenditure priorities is worth reading closely against that figure.
From the alphabetical same-sector table in section 06, pick two or three companies yourself and line up one metric — EV/EBITDA or Debt/EBITDA are useful starting points. Walmart's EV/EBITDA of 13.1× sits 62% above the sector median, so placing it alongside peers you select will show where that valuation premium stands in context.
Steps you can check yourself, based on the figures in this brief.
Piotroski F-Score: nine binary tests of financial strength from the annual report. A ✓ marks a test passed, a dot (·) a test failed.
Over 4 years: +8%+26%-16%+18%
Over 4 years: 1.201.010.920.83
Over 4 years: +7%+6%+5%+5%
The context on the right shows how each figure compares with the sector median. The trend below tracks the change over recent fiscal years.
Beat consensus in 5 of 8 recent quarters — a mixed record.
Last quarter's EPS against consensus, plus the estimated date of the next report.
| +1% |
| 16% |
| COST | Costco | 7/9 | 31% | +8% | 4% |
| GIS | General Mills | 5/9 | -1% | -5% | 5% |
| HSY | Hershey | 4/9 | 19% | +4% | 12% |
| KMB | Kimberly-Clark | 4/9 | 173% | -2% | 14% |
| KO | Coca-Cola | 6/9 | 46% | +2% | 29% |
| KR | Kroger | 6/9 | 14% | +0% | 1% |
| MDLZ | Mondelez | 6/9 | 9% | +6% | 9% |
| MO | Altria | 6/9 | — | -3% | 43% |
| PEP | PepsiCo | 5/9 | 43% | +2% | 12% |
| PG | Procter & Gamble | 6/9 | 30% | +3% | 23% |
| PM | Philip Morris | 7/9 | — | +7% | 37% |
| SYY | Sysco | 7/9 | 78% | +4% | 4% |
| TGT | Target | 6/9 | 24% | -2% | 5% |
| WMT | Walmart Inc. | 7/9 | 23% | +5% | 4% |
A sample of 15 companies in the sector including the target, alphabetical, unranked. Data from the latest SEC annual reports.
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
A simplified retrospective read: no analyst forecast (not available historically); the source is the annual report as of the date, so neighbouring quarters can rest on the same data. Quarters with the same classification in a row are merged into one row — each row is one change in the read, not a separate quarter. One ticker is an illustration of the classification logic, not statistics. How we calculate →
The last few quarters are recent context, not a fixed rate. Consensus for near quarters is set low, so companies clear it routinely; over long horizons the forecasts run the other way, too high.
A description of what the market and analysts expect. Not a price forecast and not investment advice. Analyst forecasts run systematically optimistic over long horizons — read them with that discount.