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Freeport-McMoRan Inc.
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
Signals scattered
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2 of 5 met · composite above the peer average
Business quality, valuation against the sector, and position in the 52-week range — whether they line up or not.
Mixed signals
Profitability
3/4
Debt & liquidity
2/3
Efficiency
0/2
Capital returns at Freeport-McMoRan Inc. run well ahead of the sector: ROIC reaches 17.7%, some +74% above the sector median, and ROE of 22.8% follows the same pattern. The valuation picture is split, though — EV/EBITDA of 12.6× sits -38% below the sector median 20.2×, a meaningful discount for a business of this quality, yet P/B of 5.4× runs +42% above its median, reflecting what the market pays for copper-linked assets. FCF growth year over year came to -40.2%, well below the sector median 4.7% — the efficiency sub-score of the F-Score of 5/9 flags the same drag. Consensus has a strong track record here: the last reported quarter beat estimates by 19.0%, and analysts forecast continued growth, though the realized three-year EPS CAGR from SEC filings is not available to test whether that optimism is grounded.
| Ticker | Name | F-Score | ROE | Revenue YoY | Op. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APD | Air Products | 5/9 | -2% |
The market prices in earnings growth; analyst sentiment is steady; has mostly beaten consensus.
Price against next year's expected earnings. The forward P/E already carries analyst optimism — read it alongside the “Versus consensus” line.
A forward P/E below the current one means the market expects earnings to grow; above it, to fall. The historical growth is realized figures from SEC filings, not a forecast.
The three-month change in the share of positive analyst ratings. This is sentiment, not an earnings-estimate revision, and not a call to act.
When FCX reports on October 21, 2026, focus on free cash flow growth — currently 962% below the sector median at 4.67%. Check whether copper volumes and realized prices are translating into FCF improvement, and watch whether the F-Score efficiency signals (0/2) show any recovery.
Pull FCX's most recent 10-K on SEC EDGAR and read the risk factors tied to commodity price exposure and capital allocation. Cross-reference management's discussion with the P/B of 3.78x — 42% above the sector median — to assess whether the balance sheet justifies that premium.
From the alphabetical same-sector table in section 06, pick two or three companies yourself and line up one metric — ROIC, EV/EBITDA, or P/B. FCX's ROIC of 10.2% sits 74% above the sector median; see where it lands relative to the names you select before drawing any conclusions.
Steps you can check yourself, based on the figures in this brief.
Piotroski F-Score: nine binary tests of financial strength from the annual report. A ✓ marks a test passed, a dot (·) a test failed.
Over 4 years: -70%-73%+417%-53%
Over 4 years: 1.061.040.981.02
Over 4 years: -0%+0%+11%+2%
The context on the right shows how each figure compares with the sector median. The trend below tracks the change over recent fiscal years.
Beat consensus in 8 of 8 recent quarters — the company clears estimates regularly (consensus is often set conservatively).
Last quarter's EPS against consensus, plus the estimated date of the next report.
| -1% |
| -7% |
| CTVA | Corteva | 7/9 | 5% | +3% | — |
| DD | DuPont | 5/9 | -4% | +2% | — |
| DOW | Dow Inc. | 3/9 | -15% | -7% | — |
| ECL | Ecolab | 5/9 | 22% | +2% | 17% |
| FCX | Freeport-McMoRan Inc. | 5/9 | 23% | +2% | 25% |
| LIN | Linde | 4/9 | 18% | +3% | 26% |
| MLM | Martin Marietta | 8/9 | 12% | +9% | 23% |
| NEM | Newmont | 8/9 | 22% | +21% | — |
| NUE | Nucor | 6/9 | 8% | +6% | — |
| PKG | Packaging Corp | 3/9 | 17% | +7% | 12% |
| PPG | PPG Industries | 6/9 | 21% | +0% | — |
| SHW | Sherwin-Williams | 6/9 | 59% | +2% | — |
| STLD | Steel Dynamics | 5/9 | 13% | +4% | 8% |
| VMC | Vulcan Materials | 9/9 | 13% | +7% | 20% |
A sample of 15 companies in the sector including the target, alphabetical, unranked. Data from the latest SEC annual reports.
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
The last few quarters are recent context, not a fixed rate. Consensus for near quarters is set low, so companies clear it routinely; over long horizons the forecasts run the other way, too high.
A description of what the market and analysts expect. Not a price forecast and not investment advice. Analyst forecasts run systematically optimistic over long horizons — read them with that discount.