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Packaging Corp. of America
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
Weak signals across every dimension
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0 of 5 met · composite in line with peers
Business quality, valuation against the sector, and position in the 52-week range — whether they line up or not.
Weak fundamentals
Profitability
3/4
Debt & liquidity
0/3
Efficiency
0/2
Valuation is where the numbers diverge most sharply from the business itself. Revenue grew 7.2% year over year against a sector median of 2.9%, and FCF expanded 42.4%, outpacing the sector median by +808% — genuine operational momentum. Yet the market prices that momentum at an EV/EBITDA of 12,982.3×, which runs +64,258% above the sector median of 20.2×, and a P/B of 4,967.9× against a sector median of 3.8×. The F-Score of 3/9 flags strain on the balance sheet and efficiency side, even as the current ratio of 3.17 sits +38% above the median. Consensus models further earnings growth, but the realized growth per SEC filings has been weak, and the forward PEG reads as stretched — the market's forecast carries more optimism than the track record supports.
| Ticker | Name | F-Score | ROE | Revenue YoY | Op. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APD | Air Products | 5/9 | -2% |
When PKG reports on 2026-10-20, track revenue year over year against the current 2.92% growth rate and monitor whether FCF growth — now running at 4.67% against a sector median near 0.51% — holds up. The F-Score's 0/2 on efficiency flags asset turnover and gross margin trends as the numbers to watch most closely.
PKG's Leverage and Liquidity sub-score of 0/3 points to pressure on long-term debt, debt-to-equity, and current-year debt issuance. Pull the most recent 10-K on SEC EDGAR and read the Capital Resources section alongside the Risk Factors to understand how management frames refinancing exposure and capacity commitments.
PKG carries an EV/EBITDA of 20.2× and a P/B of 3.78×, both well above the sector median. From the same-sector table in section 06, pick two or three companies yourself and line up those two multiples to see where PKG sits within the range — the table is alphabetical with no implied ranking.
Steps you can check yourself, based on the figures in this brief.
Piotroski F-Score: nine binary tests of financial strength from the annual report. A ✓ marks a test passed, a dot (·) a test failed.
Over 4 years: +37%+26%-38%+40%
Over 4 years: 1.321.551.522.25
Over 4 years: +10%-8%+7%+7%
The context on the right shows how each figure compares with the sector median. The trend below tracks the change over recent fiscal years.
Beat consensus in 5 of 8 recent quarters — a mixed record.
Last quarter's EPS against consensus, plus the estimated date of the next report.
| -1% |
| -7% |
| CTVA | Corteva | 7/9 | 5% | +3% | — |
| DD | DuPont | 5/9 | -4% | +2% | — |
| DOW | Dow Inc. | 3/9 | -15% | -7% | — |
| ECL | Ecolab | 5/9 | 22% | +2% | 17% |
| FCX | Freeport-McMoRan | 5/9 | 23% | +2% | 25% |
| LIN | Linde | 4/9 | 18% | +3% | 26% |
| MLM | Martin Marietta | 8/9 | 12% | +9% | 23% |
| NEM | Newmont | 8/9 | 22% | +21% | — |
| NUE | Nucor | 6/9 | 8% | +6% | — |
| PKG | Packaging Corp. of America | 3/9 | 17% | +7% | 12% |
| PPG | PPG Industries | 6/9 | 21% | +0% | — |
| SHW | Sherwin-Williams | 6/9 | 59% | +2% | — |
| STLD | Steel Dynamics | 5/9 | 13% | +4% | 8% |
| VMC | Vulcan Materials | 9/9 | 13% | +7% | 20% |
A sample of 15 companies in the sector including the target, alphabetical, unranked. Data from the latest SEC annual reports.
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.