Looking up the ticker with the regulator···
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Looking up the ticker with the regulator···
0s · usually 20–30 seconds for a cold read
Exxon Mobil Corporation
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
Weak signals across every dimension
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0 of 5 met · composite in line with peers
Business quality, valuation against the sector, and position in the 52-week range — whether they line up or not.
Weak fundamentals
1 signal unavailable
Profitability
3/4
Debt & liquidity
0/3
Efficiency
0/2
Debt carries less weight here than the price tag does: Exxon's Debt/EBITDA of 0.7× sits -69% below the sector median 2.1×, a genuine balance-sheet advantage in a capital-intensive sector. Yet the valuation multiples tell a harder story — a P/E of 27.0× runs +125% above the sector median 12.0×, and EV/EBITDA of 13.5× exceeds the sector median 6.0× by +126%, placing both in the bottom quartile for the sector. The F-Score of 3/9 reflects weak efficiency and deteriorating liquidity signals, and the composite of 40/100 against the sector median confirms that quality and growth both trail the peer group. The last quarterly report came in at +125% below consensus on EPS; analysts, however, have historically been pessimistic on this name, so the market may already price in a softer earnings path than consensus models.
| Ticker | Name | F-Score | ROE | Revenue YoY | Op. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COP | ConocoPhillips | 5/9 | 12% |
Quarter-by-quarter classification · a retrospective read by the current logic · not a price forecast
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice. The method did not see these quarters in real time; this is the current logic applied to past reports.
The market prices in earnings growth; analyst sentiment is steady; has mostly beaten consensus.
Price against next year's expected earnings. The forward P/E already carries analyst optimism — read it alongside the “Versus consensus” line.
A forward P/E below the current one means the market expects earnings to grow; above it, to fall. The historical growth is realized figures from SEC filings, not a forecast.
The three-month change in the share of positive analyst ratings. This is sentiment, not an earnings-estimate revision, and not a call to act.
Revenue and margins in the next quarterly 10-Q will show whether the profitability signals in the F-Score hold. Re-run the XOM analysis once it is published.
The full XOM annual report on SEC EDGAR has the risk factors, the management discussion (MD&A), and the disclosures that numbers alone do not capture.
The same-sector table, where available, is an alphabetical sample with no ranking. Pick 2-3 companies yourself and line up P/E, margin, and F-Score: a single number only means something in its industry context.
Steps you can check yourself, based on the figures in this brief.
Piotroski F-Score: nine binary tests of financial strength from the annual report. A ✓ marks a test passed, a dot (·) a test failed.
Over 4 years: +62%-43%-8%-23%
Over 4 years: 0.530.680.670.66
Over 4 years: +45%-17%+1%-5%
The context on the right shows how each figure compares with the sector median. The trend below tracks the change over recent fiscal years.
Beat consensus in 7 of 8 recent quarters — the company clears estimates regularly (consensus is often set conservatively).
Last quarter's EPS against consensus, plus the estimated date of the next report.
| +8% |
| — |
| CVX | Chevron | 6/9 | 7% | -7% | — |
| DVN | Devon Energy | 6/9 | 18% | +8% | — |
| EOG | EOG Resources | 4/9 | 17% | -4% | 28% |
| FANG | Diamondback Energy | 4/9 | 4% | +36% | 8% |
| HAL | Halliburton | 4/9 | 12% | -3% | 10% |
| KMI | Kinder Morgan | 7/9 | 10% | +12% | 28% |
| MPC | Marathon Petroleum | 7/9 | 23% | -4% | 6% |
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum | 4/9 | 7% | -2% | — |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | 7/9 | 16% | -8% | — |
| SLB | Schlumberger | 4/9 | 14% | -2% | — |
| VLO | Valero Energy | 6/9 | 10% | -6% | 3% |
| WMB | Williams Companies | 7/9 | 21% | +14% | 35% |
| XOM | Exxon Mobil Corporation | 3/9 | 11% | -5% | — |
A sample of 14 companies in the sector including the target, alphabetical, unranked. Data from the latest SEC annual reports.
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
A simplified retrospective read: no analyst forecast (not available historically); the source is the annual report as of the date, so neighbouring quarters can rest on the same data. Quarters with the same classification in a row are merged into one row — each row is one change in the read, not a separate quarter. One ticker is an illustration of the classification logic, not statistics. How we calculate →
The last few quarters are recent context, not a fixed rate. Consensus for near quarters is set low, so companies clear it routinely; over long horizons the forecasts run the other way, too high.
A description of what the market and analysts expect. Not a price forecast and not investment advice. Analyst forecasts run systematically optimistic over long horizons — read them with that discount.