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Chevron Corporation
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
Weak signals across every dimension
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0 of 5 met · composite in line with peers
Business quality, valuation against the sector, and position in the 52-week range — whether they line up or not.
Stable quality
Profitability
3/4
Debt & liquidity
2/3
Efficiency
1/2
Free cash flow surged 79.6% year over year, well above the sector median, yet this strength masks a business that is shrinking on the top line. Revenue fell -6.8%, trailing the sector median -1.9% by -251%, a gap that reflects the cyclical pressure on energy prices rather than operational drift. The balance sheet is solid — Debt/EBITDA sits at 1.2×, below the sector median 2.1× — but profitability metrics are weak. An F-Score of 6/9 signals mixed financial health, with leverage stable yet efficiency lagging. Valuation offers little cushion: EV/EBITDA trades at 12.9×, +116% above the sector median 6.0×, pricing in recovery that the realized earnings track record has not yet delivered. The composite score of 38/100 sits well below the sector median, reflecting a company caught between commodity headwinds and a market that has already priced in a rebound.
| Ticker | Name | F-Score | ROE | Revenue YoY | Op. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COP | ConocoPhillips | 5/9 | 12% |
The market prices in earnings growth; analyst sentiment is strengthening; has mostly beaten consensus.
Price against next year's expected earnings. The forward P/E already carries analyst optimism — read it alongside the “Versus consensus” line.
A forward P/E below the current one means the market expects earnings to grow; above it, to fall. The historical growth is realized figures from SEC filings, not a forecast.
The three-month change in the share of positive analyst ratings. This is sentiment, not an earnings-estimate revision, and not a call to act.
When Chevron reports on October 29, 2026, track whether revenue growth recovers from its current -1.93% year-over-year figure toward the sector median. Also check whether FCF growth, now 470% above the sector median, is sustained or was a one-period event.
Focus on management's discussion of capital allocation and the debt load, where Chevron's Debt/EBITDA of 1.18× sits 44% below the sector median. Cross-reference the efficiency section — the F-Score flags only 1/2 there — against disclosed asset turnover trends.
Pick two or three companies from the alphabetical same-sector table in section 06 and line up one metric — EV/EBITDA is a useful starting point, given CVX's 6.00×, which is 2.2× above the sector median. No single name in that table is ranked; the comparison is yours to draw.
Steps you can check yourself, based on the figures in this brief.
Piotroski F-Score: nine binary tests of financial strength from the annual report. A ✓ marks a test passed, a dot (·) a test failed.
Over 4 years: +78%-47%-24%+10%
Over 4 years: 0.430.570.641.17
Over 4 years: +52%-18%+1%-7%
The context on the right shows how each figure compares with the sector median. The trend below tracks the change over recent fiscal years.
Beat consensus in 7 of 8 recent quarters — the company clears estimates regularly (consensus is often set conservatively).
Last quarter's EPS against consensus, plus the estimated date of the next report.
| +8% |
| — |
| CVX | Chevron Corporation | 6/9 | 7% | -7% | — |
| DVN | Devon Energy | 6/9 | 18% | +8% | — |
| EOG | EOG Resources | 4/9 | 17% | -4% | 28% |
| FANG | Diamondback Energy | 4/9 | 4% | +36% | 8% |
| HAL | Halliburton | 4/9 | 12% | -3% | 10% |
| KMI | Kinder Morgan | 7/9 | 10% | +12% | 28% |
| MPC | Marathon Petroleum | 7/9 | 23% | -4% | 6% |
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum | 4/9 | 7% | -2% | — |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | 7/9 | 16% | -8% | — |
| SLB | Schlumberger | 4/9 | 14% | -2% | — |
| VLO | Valero Energy | 6/9 | 10% | -6% | 3% |
| WMB | Williams Companies | 7/9 | 21% | +14% | 35% |
A sample of 13 companies in the sector including the target, alphabetical, unranked. Data from the latest SEC annual reports.
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
The last few quarters are recent context, not a fixed rate. Consensus for near quarters is set low, so companies clear it routinely; over long horizons the forecasts run the other way, too high.
A description of what the market and analysts expect. Not a price forecast and not investment advice. Analyst forecasts run systematically optimistic over long horizons — read them with that discount.