Looking up the ticker with the regulator···
0s · usually 20–30 seconds for a cold read
Looking up the ticker with the regulator···
0s · usually 20–30 seconds for a cold read
Valero Energy Corp.
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
Weak signals across every dimension
Get notified when we ship meaningful updates. No spam, no daily noise.
0 of 5 met · composite in line with peers
Business quality, valuation against the sector, and position in the 52-week range — whether they line up or not.
Stable quality
Profitability
3/4
Debt & liquidity
2/3
Efficiency
1/2
Valuation is where the tension sits most visibly: P/B at 4.3× runs +139% above the sector median 1.8×, placing Valero Energy Corp. in the bottom quartile on price, while operating margin of 2.6% trails the sector median 10.2% by -75% — a combination that raises questions about what the premium is paying for. The balance sheet offers a cleaner read: the current ratio of 1.65 sits +31% above the sector median 1.26, and Debt/EBITDA of 2.5× compares well against the median 2.1×. An F-Score of 6/9 signals stable but unremarkable financial health, and the composite of 37/100 against the sector median reflects weak signals across quality, growth, and valuation. The forward picture looks more constructive: consensus aligns with the realized three-year EPS CAGR, the beat rate is strong, and the forward PEG reads as reasonable — though analyst forecasts carry a well-documented optimistic bias that the current margin profile does not obviously support.
| Ticker | Name | F-Score | ROE | Revenue YoY | Op. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COP | ConocoPhillips | 5/9 | 12% |
The market prices in earnings growth; analyst sentiment is steady; has mostly beaten consensus.
Price against next year's expected earnings. The forward P/E already carries analyst optimism — read it alongside the “Versus consensus” line.
A forward P/E below the current one means the market expects earnings to grow; above it, to fall. The historical growth is realized figures from SEC filings, not a forecast.
The three-month change in the share of positive analyst ratings. This is sentiment, not an earnings-estimate revision, and not a call to act.
When Valero reports on October 21, 2026, track operating margin against the current 10.2% figure — 75% below the sector median — and watch for year-over-year revenue direction. The F-Score profitability sub-score of 3/4 leaves one signal unlit; check whether cash flow from operations relative to assets improves.
Valero's operating margin of 10.2% sits well below the sector median, making refining spread assumptions critical. In the 10-K, focus on management's discussion of crack spread sensitivity, feedstock cost disclosures, and any debt maturity schedule that bears on the Leverage sub-score of 2/3.
From the alphabetical same-sector table in section 06, pick two or three companies yourself and line up one metric — P/B or operating margin works well given VLO's P/B of 2.4× and its margin gap to the median. No entry in that table is ranked; the comparison is yours to draw.
Steps you can check yourself, based on the figures in this brief.
Piotroski F-Score: nine binary tests of financial strength from the annual report. A ✓ marks a test passed, a dot (·) a test failed.
Over 4 years: +189%-26%-37%—
Over 4 years: 0.590.772.132.55
Over 4 years: +55%-18%-10%-6%
The context on the right shows how each figure compares with the sector median. The trend below tracks the change over recent fiscal years.
Beat consensus in 8 of 8 recent quarters — the company clears estimates regularly (consensus is often set conservatively).
Last quarter's EPS against consensus, plus the estimated date of the next report.
| +8% |
| — |
| CVX | Chevron | 6/9 | 7% | -7% | — |
| DVN | Devon Energy | 6/9 | 18% | +8% | — |
| EOG | EOG Resources | 4/9 | 17% | -4% | 28% |
| FANG | Diamondback Energy | 4/9 | 4% | +36% | 8% |
| HAL | Halliburton | 4/9 | 12% | -3% | 10% |
| KMI | Kinder Morgan | 7/9 | 10% | +12% | 28% |
| MPC | Marathon Petroleum | 7/9 | 23% | -4% | 6% |
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum | 4/9 | 7% | -2% | — |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | 7/9 | 16% | -8% | — |
| SLB | Schlumberger | 4/9 | 14% | -2% | — |
| VLO | Valero Energy Corp. | 6/9 | 10% | -6% | 3% |
| WMB | Williams Companies | 7/9 | 21% | +14% | 35% |
A sample of 13 companies in the sector including the target, alphabetical, unranked. Data from the latest SEC annual reports.
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
The last few quarters are recent context, not a fixed rate. Consensus for near quarters is set low, so companies clear it routinely; over long horizons the forecasts run the other way, too high.
A description of what the market and analysts expect. Not a price forecast and not investment advice. Analyst forecasts run systematically optimistic over long horizons — read them with that discount.