Looking up the ticker with the regulator···
0s · usually 20–30 seconds for a cold read
Looking up the ticker with the regulator···
0s · usually 20–30 seconds for a cold read
Marathon Petroleum Corp.
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
Weak signals across every dimension
Get notified when we ship meaningful updates. No spam, no daily noise.
1 of 5 met · composite in line with peers
Business quality, valuation against the sector, and position in the 52-week range — whether they line up or not.
Stable quality
Profitability
4/4
Debt & liquidity
2/3
Efficiency
1/2
Capital returns at Marathon Petroleum Corp. run well ahead of the sector: ROE of 23.1% sits +87% above the sector median of 12.4%, and ROIC of 15.7% exceeds the median of 8.7% by +81%. FCF growth year over year came in at 110.4%, against a sector median of -21.5%. The F-Score of 7/9 points to stable quality, with profitability components all passing, though the health axis is softer — Debt/EBITDA of 2.6× runs above the sector median of 2.1× by +25%. On valuation, EV/EBITDA of 11.7× exceeds the sector median of 6.0× by +95%, and P/B of 6.1× sits +236% above the median of 1.8×. The forward picture is more constructive: consensus models earnings growth that the recency-weighted beat rate — strong across recent quarters — broadly supports, though the realized three-year EPS CAGR of {{value:eps_cagr_3y}} trails what analysts currently forecast, a gap worth holding in view.
| Ticker | Name | F-Score | ROE | Revenue YoY | Op. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COP | ConocoPhillips | 5/9 | 12% |
The market prices in earnings growth; analyst sentiment is steady; has mostly beaten consensus.
Price against next year's expected earnings. The forward P/E already carries analyst optimism — read it alongside the “Versus consensus” line.
A forward P/E below the current one means the market expects earnings to grow; above it, to fall. The historical growth is realized figures from SEC filings, not a forecast.
The three-month change in the share of positive analyst ratings. This is sentiment, not an earnings-estimate revision, and not a call to act.
When MPC reports on November 2, track refining crack spreads and free cash flow conversion alongside year-over-year revenue. The FCF growth sits 614% above the sector median, so watch whether that figure normalizes or holds as a genuine operational trend.
On SEC EDGAR, open MPC's most recent 10-K and read the risk factors and management's discussion sections. Focus on how the company frames its leverage position — the F-Score flags 2/3 on leverage and liquidity — and any disclosures on capital allocation tied to the 87% above-median ROE.
From the same-sector table in section 06, pick two or three companies and line up EV/EBITDA. MPC's multiple runs 95% above the sector median of 6.00×, so the comparison will show where that valuation premium sits relative to others in the table without assuming any single name is stronger.
Steps you can check yourself, based on the figures in this brief.
Piotroski F-Score: nine binary tests of financial strength from the annual report. A ✓ marks a test passed, a dot (·) a test failed.
Over 4 years: +381%-12%-50%-22%
Over 4 years: 1.041.422.412.64
Over 4 years: +48%-16%-6%-4%
The context on the right shows how each figure compares with the sector median. The trend below tracks the change over recent fiscal years.
Beat consensus in 7 of 8 recent quarters — the company clears estimates regularly (consensus is often set conservatively).
Last quarter's EPS against consensus, plus the estimated date of the next report.
| +8% |
| — |
| CVX | Chevron | 6/9 | 7% | -7% | — |
| DVN | Devon Energy | 6/9 | 18% | +8% | — |
| EOG | EOG Resources | 4/9 | 17% | -4% | 28% |
| FANG | Diamondback Energy | 4/9 | 4% | +36% | 8% |
| HAL | Halliburton | 4/9 | 12% | -3% | 10% |
| KMI | Kinder Morgan | 7/9 | 10% | +12% | 28% |
| MPC | Marathon Petroleum Corp. | 7/9 | 23% | -4% | 6% |
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum | 4/9 | 7% | -2% | — |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | 7/9 | 16% | -8% | — |
| SLB | Schlumberger | 4/9 | 14% | -2% | — |
| VLO | Valero Energy | 6/9 | 10% | -6% | 3% |
| WMB | Williams Companies | 7/9 | 21% | +14% | 35% |
A sample of 13 companies in the sector including the target, alphabetical, unranked. Data from the latest SEC annual reports.
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
The last few quarters are recent context, not a fixed rate. Consensus for near quarters is set low, so companies clear it routinely; over long horizons the forecasts run the other way, too high.
A description of what the market and analysts expect. Not a price forecast and not investment advice. Analyst forecasts run systematically optimistic over long horizons — read them with that discount.