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PepsiCo, Inc.
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
Signals scattered
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2 of 5 met · composite in line with peers
Business quality, valuation against the sector, and position in the 52-week range — whether they line up or not.
Mixed signals
Profitability
3/4
Debt & liquidity
2/3
Efficiency
0/2
FCF growth year over year of 29.1% — +441% above the sector median — is the sharpest number in PepsiCo's current picture, yet the rest of the scorecard is harder to read cleanly. ROE runs at 42.9%, well ahead of the sector median of 30.1%, while the P/E of 18.8× sits -9% below the sector median; on those two measures the stock looks reasonably priced for its returns. The tension sits in the other multiples: P/B at 9.6× runs +75% above the sector median, and EV/EBITDA of 15.9× exceeds the median by +22%, which is a meaningful premium for a business whose F-Score of 5/9 lands in mixed territory — efficiency sub-scores contributed nothing. Consensus and the realized three-year EPS CAGR are broadly aligned, but the forward PEG reads as stretched, and the beat rate over the last eight quarters has been weak; the composite of 46/100 against the sector median reflects that scattered picture.
| Ticker | Name | F-Score | ROE | Revenue YoY | Op. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CL | Colgate-Palmolive | 5/9 | 1 603% |
Quarter-by-quarter classification · a retrospective read by the current logic · not a price forecast
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice. The method did not see these quarters in real time; this is the current logic applied to past reports.
The market prices in earnings growth; analyst sentiment is steady; has mostly beaten consensus.
Price against next year's expected earnings. The forward P/E already carries analyst optimism — read it alongside the “Versus consensus” line.
A forward P/E below the current one means the market expects earnings to grow; above it, to fall. The historical growth is realized figures from SEC filings, not a forecast.
The three-month change in the share of positive analyst ratings. This is sentiment, not an earnings-estimate revision, and not a call to act.
When Q3 2026 results land on October 7, track revenue year-over-year and free cash flow growth — PEP's FCF growth already runs 5.4× above the sector median. A second consecutive quarter of positive FCF momentum would reinforce the profitability signals; a reversal would warrant rechecking the F-Score's efficiency flags (currently 0/2).
On SEC EDGAR, open PepsiCo's most recent 10-K and read the Management's Discussion section for commentary on volume trends and cost pressures — context that sits behind the EV/EBITDA of 13.1×, which runs 22% above the sector median. The Leverage and Liquidity sub-score of 2/3 also warrants a close read of the debt maturity schedule and interest coverage disclosures.
In section 06, pick two or three Consumer Staples names from the alphabetical table and line up one valuation metric — P/B at 5.50× or EV/EBITDA at 13.1× are natural starting points given PEP's premium to the sector median on both. No company in the table is ranked; the exercise is to gauge how wide or narrow PEP's premium looks relative to peers you find relevant to your own portfolio context.
Steps you can check yourself, based on the figures in this brief.
Piotroski F-Score: nine binary tests of financial strength from the annual report. A ✓ marks a test passed, a dot (·) a test failed.
Over 4 years: -20%+41%-9%+7%
Over 4 years: 2.502.522.322.83
Over 4 years: +9%+6%+0%+2%
The context on the right shows how each figure compares with the sector median. The trend below tracks the change over recent fiscal years.
Beat consensus in 7 of 8 recent quarters — the company clears estimates regularly (consensus is often set conservatively).
Last quarter's EPS against consensus, plus the estimated date of the next report.
| +1% |
| 16% |
| COST | Costco | 7/9 | 31% | +8% | 4% |
| GIS | General Mills | 5/9 | -1% | -5% | 5% |
| HSY | Hershey | 4/9 | 19% | +4% | 12% |
| KMB | Kimberly-Clark | 4/9 | 173% | -2% | 14% |
| KO | Coca-Cola | 6/9 | 46% | +2% | 29% |
| KR | Kroger | 6/9 | 14% | +0% | 1% |
| MDLZ | Mondelez | 6/9 | 9% | +6% | 9% |
| MO | Altria | 6/9 | — | -3% | 43% |
| PEP | PepsiCo, Inc. | 5/9 | 43% | +2% | 12% |
| PG | Procter & Gamble | 6/9 | 30% | +3% | 23% |
| PM | Philip Morris | 7/9 | — | +7% | 37% |
| SYY | Sysco | 7/9 | 78% | +4% | 4% |
| TGT | Target | 6/9 | 24% | -2% | 5% |
| WMT | Walmart | 7/9 | 23% | +5% | 4% |
A sample of 15 companies in the sector including the target, alphabetical, unranked. Data from the latest SEC annual reports.
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
A simplified retrospective read: no analyst forecast (not available historically); the source is the annual report as of the date, so neighbouring quarters can rest on the same data. Quarters with the same classification in a row are merged into one row — each row is one change in the read, not a separate quarter. One ticker is an illustration of the classification logic, not statistics. How we calculate →
The last few quarters are recent context, not a fixed rate. Consensus for near quarters is set low, so companies clear it routinely; over long horizons the forecasts run the other way, too high.
A description of what the market and analysts expect. Not a price forecast and not investment advice. Analyst forecasts run systematically optimistic over long horizons — read them with that discount.