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Philip Morris International Inc.
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
Strong business, valuation above the sector
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3 of 5 met · composite in line with peers
Business quality, valuation against the sector, and position in the 52-week range — whether they line up or not.
Stable quality
Profitability
4/4
Debt & liquidity
2/3
Efficiency
1/2
Revenue growth at 7.3% — roughly +224% above the sector median of 2.3% — is the first signal that Philip Morris International Inc. is running well ahead of most Consumer Staples peers, and the operating margin of 36.6% (+199% above the sector median of 12.2%) confirms that the growth is landing at the bottom line. The F-Score of 7/9 reflects a business in solid shape, with full marks on profitability and only minor drag from efficiency. Price is where the tension sits: the P/E of 27.5× runs +34% above the sector median of 20.6×, and EV/EBITDA of 20.3× exceeds the sector median of 13.1× by +55%, leaving little room for disappointment. The forward PEG reads as stretched, and the realized three-year EPS CAGR of {{value:eps_cagr_3y}} trails what consensus models — a gap the literature on analyst optimism suggests is worth holding in mind.
| Ticker | Name | F-Score | ROE | Revenue YoY | Op. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CL | Colgate-Palmolive | 5/9 | 1 603% |
Quarter-by-quarter classification · a retrospective read by the current logic · not a price forecast
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice. The method did not see these quarters in real time; this is the current logic applied to past reports.
The market prices in earnings growth; analyst sentiment is steady; has mostly beaten consensus.
Price against next year's expected earnings. The forward P/E already carries analyst optimism — read it alongside the “Versus consensus” line.
A forward P/E below the current one means the market expects earnings to grow; above it, to fall. The historical growth is realized figures from SEC filings, not a forecast.
The three-month change in the share of positive analyst ratings. This is sentiment, not an earnings-estimate revision, and not a call to act.
When PM reports on October 21, 2026, track whether revenue growth holds above the sector median of 2.25% and whether the operating margin stays near its current 3.0× sector-median level. EPS momentum — currently 653% above the median — is the figure most likely to move the valuation conversation.
PM carries an EV/EBITDA 55% above the sector median of 13.1×, so the premium depends on sustained cash generation. In the 10-K, focus on regulatory risk disclosures, the smoke-free product transition narrative, and any commentary on debt structure given the 2/3 leverage and liquidity F-Score.
Pick two or three companies from the same-sector table in section 06 and line up one metric — EV/EBITDA or operating margin work well here. PM's P/E sits 34% above the sector median of 20.6×; seeing where your chosen peers land on that same axis adds context to whether the premium is sector-wide or specific to PM.
Steps you can check yourself, based on the figures in this brief.
Piotroski F-Score: nine binary tests of financial strength from the annual report. A ✓ marks a test passed, a dot (·) a test failed.
Over 4 years: -13%-19%+37%-1%
Over 4 years: 2.623.182.782.67
Over 4 years: +1%+11%+8%+7%
The context on the right shows how each figure compares with the sector median. The trend below tracks the change over recent fiscal years.
Beat consensus in 7 of 8 recent quarters — the company clears estimates regularly (consensus is often set conservatively).
Last quarter's EPS against consensus, plus the estimated date of the next report.
| +1% |
| 16% |
| COST | Costco | 7/9 | 31% | +8% | 4% |
| GIS | General Mills | 5/9 | -1% | -5% | 5% |
| HSY | Hershey | 4/9 | 19% | +4% | 12% |
| KMB | Kimberly-Clark | 4/9 | 173% | -2% | 14% |
| KO | Coca-Cola | 6/9 | 46% | +2% | 29% |
| KR | Kroger | 6/9 | 14% | +0% | 1% |
| MDLZ | Mondelez | 6/9 | 9% | +6% | 9% |
| MO | Altria | 6/9 | — | -3% | 43% |
| PEP | PepsiCo | 5/9 | 43% | +2% | 12% |
| PG | Procter & Gamble | 6/9 | 30% | +3% | 23% |
| PM | Philip Morris International Inc. | 7/9 | — | +7% | 37% |
| SYY | Sysco | 7/9 | 78% | +4% | 4% |
| TGT | Target | 6/9 | 24% | -2% | 5% |
| WMT | Walmart | 7/9 | 23% | +5% | 4% |
A sample of 15 companies in the sector including the target, alphabetical, unranked. Data from the latest SEC annual reports.
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
A simplified retrospective read: no analyst forecast (not available historically); the source is the annual report as of the date, so neighbouring quarters can rest on the same data. Quarters with the same classification in a row are merged into one row — each row is one change in the read, not a separate quarter. One ticker is an illustration of the classification logic, not statistics. How we calculate →
The last few quarters are recent context, not a fixed rate. Consensus for near quarters is set low, so companies clear it routinely; over long horizons the forecasts run the other way, too high.
A description of what the market and analysts expect. Not a price forecast and not investment advice. Analyst forecasts run systematically optimistic over long horizons — read them with that discount.