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Ross Stores Inc.
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
Strong business, valuation above the sector
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3 of 5 met · composite in line with peers
Business quality, valuation against the sector, and position in the 52-week range — whether they line up or not.
Stable quality
Profitability
3/4
Debt & liquidity
2/3
Efficiency
1/2
Ross Stores converts capital into profit at a rate well above the sector: ROIC stands at 78.3%, +199% ahead of the median, and the current ratio of 1.58 signals solid near-term liquidity. Free cash flow grew 60.8% year over year, outpacing the sector median by +349%, so the business is funding growth from operations rather than leverage. Revenue expanded 7.7% against a sector median of 4.0%, and the company beat consensus earnings in the last report. The F-Score of 6/9 reflects stable operational health. Valuation, however, runs ahead of the sector: the P/E of 34.2× sits +14% above the median 30.1×, and EV/EBITDA at 24.9× exceeds the sector median by +19%. Consensus models earnings growth aligned with the three-year realized pace, yet the forward PEG reads stretched — the market has priced in the strength already.
| Ticker | Name | F-Score | ROE | Revenue YoY | Op. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | Amazon | 6/9 | 22% | +12% |
Quarter-by-quarter classification · a retrospective read by the current logic · not a price forecast
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice. The method did not see these quarters in real time; this is the current logic applied to past reports.
The market prices in earnings growth; analyst sentiment is steady; has mostly beaten consensus.
Price against next year's expected earnings. The forward P/E already carries analyst optimism — read it alongside the “Versus consensus” line.
A forward P/E below the current one means the market expects earnings to grow; above it, to fall. The historical growth is realized figures from SEC filings, not a forecast.
The three-month change in the share of positive analyst ratings. This is sentiment, not an earnings-estimate revision, and not a call to act.
When Ross reports on August 19, track gross margin and operating cash flow alongside revenue year-over-year. ROIC at 26.2% is 3× the sector median, so watch whether that figure holds or compresses as the company cycles through its current inventory positions.
Pull the most recent annual filing and focus on the merchandise sourcing and shrink sections, given the off-price model's sensitivity to both. The P/E of 30.1× sits 14% above the sector median, so management's commentary on cost discipline and store-level economics is worth reading closely.
From the same-sector table in section 06, pick two or three companies yourself and line up EV/EBITDA against ROIC. Ross carries an EV/EBITDA of 21.0×, 19% above the sector median — placing that multiple beside peers' capital returns gives a clearer sense of whether the premium is sector-wide or specific to this name.
Steps you can check yourself, based on the figures in this brief.
Piotroski F-Score: nine binary tests of financial strength from the annual report. A ✓ marks a test passed, a dot (·) a test failed.
Over 4 years: -12%+69%-7%+35%
Over 4 years: 1.030.810.500.32
Over 4 years: -1%+9%+4%+8%
The context on the right shows how each figure compares with the sector median. The trend below tracks the change over recent fiscal years.
Beat consensus in 7 of 8 recent quarters — the company clears estimates regularly (consensus is often set conservatively).
Last quarter's EPS against consensus, plus the estimated date of the next report.
| 11% |
| BABA | Alibaba | 3/9 | 10% | +8% | 5% |
| BKNG | Booking Holdings | 6/9 | — | +13% | 33% |
| F | Ford | 3/9 | -20% | +1% | -5% |
| GM | General Motors | 5/9 | 4% | -1% | 2% |
| HD | Home Depot | 3/9 | 146% | +3% | 13% |
| LOW | Lowe's | 6/9 | — | +3% | 12% |
| MAR | Marriott | 7/9 | — | +4% | 16% |
| MCD | McDonald's | 5/9 | — | +4% | 46% |
| NKE | Nike | 4/9 | 22% | +0% | — |
| ORLY | O'Reilly Automotive | 6/9 | — | +6% | 19% |
| ROST | Ross Stores Inc. | 6/9 | 37% | +8% | 12% |
| SBUX | Starbucks | 6/9 | — | +3% | 8% |
| TJX | TJX Companies | 7/9 | 59% | +7% | — |
| TSLA | Tesla | 5/9 | 5% | -3% | 5% |
| YUM | Yum! Brands | 4/9 | — | +9% | 31% |
A sample of 16 companies in the sector including the target, alphabetical, unranked. Data from the latest SEC annual reports.
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
A simplified retrospective read: no analyst forecast (not available historically); the source is the annual report as of the date, so neighbouring quarters can rest on the same data. Quarters with the same classification in a row are merged into one row — each row is one change in the read, not a separate quarter. One ticker is an illustration of the classification logic, not statistics. How we calculate →
The last few quarters are recent context, not a fixed rate. Consensus for near quarters is set low, so companies clear it routinely; over long horizons the forecasts run the other way, too high.
A description of what the market and analysts expect. Not a price forecast and not investment advice. Analyst forecasts run systematically optimistic over long horizons — read them with that discount.