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The TJX Companies, Inc.
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
Strong business, valuation above the sector
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2 of 5 met · composite in line with peers
Business quality, valuation against the sector, and position in the 52-week range — whether they line up or not.
Stable quality
Profitability
4/4
Debt & liquidity
2/3
Efficiency
1/2
TJX's earnings growth towers over the sector: EPS rose 14.3% year over year, +587% above the median, and the company beat consensus by 16.7% on its last report. ROE stands at 59.1%, well above the sector median 22.1%, while the balance sheet carries minimal leverage—Debt/EBITDA of 0.3× sits -75% below the median. An F-Score of 7/9 reflects stable operations: profitability is solid, and the company has not diluted shareholders through new share issuance. The tension lies in valuation. At a P/E of 31.4× and an EV/EBITDA of 26.3×, both above the sector median, the stock prices in years of growth that consensus itself models as stretched on a forward PEG basis. The realized three-year earnings track record aligns with what analysts forecast, yet the multiple leaves little room for disappointment.
| Ticker | Name | F-Score | ROE | Revenue YoY | Op. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | Amazon | 6/9 | 22% | +12% |
Quarter-by-quarter classification · a retrospective read by the current logic · not a price forecast
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice. The method did not see these quarters in real time; this is the current logic applied to past reports.
The market prices in earnings growth; analyst sentiment is steady; has mostly beaten consensus.
Price against next year's expected earnings. The forward P/E already carries analyst optimism — read it alongside the “Versus consensus” line.
A forward P/E below the current one means the market expects earnings to grow; above it, to fall. The historical growth is realized figures from SEC filings, not a forecast.
The three-month change in the share of positive analyst ratings. This is sentiment, not an earnings-estimate revision, and not a call to act.
When TJX reports on August 19, track comparable-store sales growth and gross margin alongside EPS. The current EPS growth sits 587% above the sector median, so the question is whether that pace reflects durable off-price demand or a one-time base effect — the year-over-year comparison will clarify which.
TJX carries a P/B of 13.1× and EV/EBITDA of 20.4×, both above the sector median, so the valuation assumes sustained execution. In the 10-K on SEC EDGAR, focus on management's discussion of inventory sourcing, vendor concentration, and any disclosures around occupancy costs that could pressure the 4/4 profitability F-Score signals.
In section 06, pick two or three companies yourself and line up one metric — EV/EBITDA or Debt/EBITDA are useful starting points given TJX's 20.4× and 1.11× readings. The table is alphabetical with no ranking, so the comparison is yours to frame against your own portfolio context.
Steps you can check yourself, based on the figures in this brief.
Piotroski F-Score: nine binary tests of financial strength from the annual report. A ✓ marks a test passed, a dot (·) a test failed.
Over 4 years: +31%+65%-3%+17%
Over 4 years: 0.700.470.470.27
Over 4 years: +3%+9%+4%+7%
The context on the right shows how each figure compares with the sector median. The trend below tracks the change over recent fiscal years.
Beat consensus in 8 of 8 recent quarters — the company clears estimates regularly (consensus is often set conservatively).
Last quarter's EPS against consensus, plus the estimated date of the next report.
| 11% |
| BABA | Alibaba | 3/9 | 10% | +8% | 5% |
| BKNG | Booking Holdings | 6/9 | — | +13% | 33% |
| F | Ford | 3/9 | -20% | +1% | -5% |
| GM | General Motors | 5/9 | 4% | -1% | 2% |
| HD | Home Depot | 3/9 | 146% | +3% | 13% |
| LOW | Lowe's | 6/9 | — | +3% | 12% |
| MAR | Marriott | 7/9 | — | +4% | 16% |
| MCD | McDonald's | 5/9 | — | +4% | 46% |
| NKE | Nike | 4/9 | 22% | +0% | — |
| ORLY | O'Reilly Automotive | 6/9 | — | +6% | 19% |
| ROST | Ross Stores | 6/9 | 37% | +8% | 12% |
| SBUX | Starbucks | 6/9 | — | +3% | 8% |
| TJX | The TJX Companies, Inc. | 7/9 | 59% | +7% | — |
| TSLA | Tesla | 5/9 | 5% | -3% | 5% |
| YUM | Yum! Brands | 4/9 | — | +9% | 31% |
A sample of 16 companies in the sector including the target, alphabetical, unranked. Data from the latest SEC annual reports.
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
A simplified retrospective read: no analyst forecast (not available historically); the source is the annual report as of the date, so neighbouring quarters can rest on the same data. Quarters with the same classification in a row are merged into one row — each row is one change in the read, not a separate quarter. One ticker is an illustration of the classification logic, not statistics. How we calculate →
The last few quarters are recent context, not a fixed rate. Consensus for near quarters is set low, so companies clear it routinely; over long horizons the forecasts run the other way, too high.
A description of what the market and analysts expect. Not a price forecast and not investment advice. Analyst forecasts run systematically optimistic over long horizons — read them with that discount.