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Alibaba Group Holding Limited
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
Lower valuation, weak fundamentals
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2 of 5 met · composite in line with peers
Business quality, valuation against the sector, and position in the 52-week range — whether they line up or not.
Weak fundamentals
Profitability
2/4
Debt & liquidity
1/3
Efficiency
0/2
Cheap multiples dominate the first read: EV/EBITDA at 2.5× sits -88% below the sector median 20.3×, and P/B at 0.2× runs -99% below the sector median 12.8× — both place BABA in the top quartile of Consumer Discretionary on price alone. The balance sheet reinforces that picture, with Debt/EBITDA of 0.0× well below the sector median 1.1×. Where the numbers turn uncomfortable is inside the business: operating margin at 4.9% trails the sector median 11.8% by -59%, ROIC at 4.1% lags the median 26.2% by -84%, and the F-Score of 3/9 — with efficiency scoring zero — points to a business converting capital poorly right now. Consensus has run pessimistic against the realized three-year EPS CAGR of {{value:eps_cagr_3y}}, which outpaces what analysts modeled; yet the last reported quarter saw EPS miss consensus by a wide margin, so the track record of beating estimates is weak. The low price reflects real operational strain, not a mismatch the market has simply overlooked.
| Ticker | Name | F-Score | ROE | Revenue YoY | Op. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | Amazon | 6/9 | 22% | +12% |
The market prices in earnings growth; analyst sentiment is steady; has not always beaten consensus.
Price against next year's expected earnings. The forward P/E already carries analyst optimism — read it alongside the “Versus consensus” line.
A forward P/E below the current one means the market expects earnings to grow; above it, to fall. The historical growth is realized figures from SEC filings, not a forecast.
The three-month change in the share of positive analyst ratings. This is sentiment, not an earnings-estimate revision, and not a call to act.
With an F-Score of 3/9 and only 2/4 on profitability, dig into the most recent quarterly filing to track whether operating margin — currently 11.8%, below the sector median — is compressing or stabilizing. Pay particular attention to cash flow from operations relative to net income, which the F-Score flags as a weak point.
BABA's ROIC of 26.2% sits 84% below the sector median despite a low Debt/EBITDA of 1.11×, which raises questions about capital allocation efficiency. The annual report's MD&A section should clarify how management plans to deploy the balance sheet and whether segment-level margins are improving.
Pick two or three companies from the same-sector table in section 06 and line up one metric — EV/EBITDA at 20.3× or P/B at a 99% discount to the median are natural starting points. The table is alphabetical with no ranking, so the comparison is yours to frame based on your own portfolio criteria.
Steps you can check yourself, based on the figures in this brief.
Piotroski F-Score: nine binary tests of financial strength from the annual report. A ✓ marks a test passed, a dot (·) a test failed.
Over 4 years: 0.000.000.000.00
Over 4 years: -6%+3%+5%+8%
The context on the right shows how each figure compares with the sector median. The trend below tracks the change over recent fiscal years.
Beat consensus in 3 of 8 recent quarters — a mixed record.
Last quarter's EPS against consensus, plus the estimated date of the next report.
| 11% |
| BABA | Alibaba Group Holding Limited | 3/9 | 10% | +8% | 5% |
| BKNG | Booking Holdings | 6/9 | — | +13% | 33% |
| F | Ford | 3/9 | -20% | +1% | -5% |
| GM | General Motors | 5/9 | 4% | -1% | 2% |
| HD | Home Depot | 3/9 | 146% | +3% | 13% |
| LOW | Lowe's | 6/9 | — | +3% | 12% |
| MAR | Marriott | 7/9 | — | +4% | 16% |
| MCD | McDonald's | 5/9 | — | +4% | 46% |
| NKE | Nike | 4/9 | 22% | +0% | — |
| ORLY | O'Reilly Automotive | 6/9 | — | +6% | 19% |
| ROST | Ross Stores | 6/9 | 37% | +8% | 12% |
| SBUX | Starbucks | 6/9 | — | +3% | 8% |
| TJX | TJX Companies | 7/9 | 59% | +7% | — |
| TSLA | Tesla | 5/9 | 5% | -3% | 5% |
| YUM | Yum! Brands | 4/9 | — | +9% | 31% |
A sample of 16 companies in the sector including the target, alphabetical, unranked. Data from the latest SEC annual reports.
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
The last few quarters are recent context, not a fixed rate. Consensus for near quarters is set low, so companies clear it routinely; over long horizons the forecasts run the other way, too high.
A description of what the market and analysts expect. Not a price forecast and not investment advice. Analyst forecasts run systematically optimistic over long horizons — read them with that discount.