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Diageo plc
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
Weak signals across every dimension
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1 of 5 met · composite in line with peers
Business quality, valuation against the sector, and position in the 52-week range — whether they line up or not.
Stable quality
Profitability
3/4
Debt & liquidity
3/3
Efficiency
0/2
Operating margin at 15.5% runs +27% above the sector median 12.2%, which marks Diageo plc as a genuinely high-margin business inside Consumer Staples — yet that strength sits alongside a capital efficiency problem: ROIC of 11.1% trails the sector median 17.8% by -37%, meaning the company earns well on sales but converts invested capital into returns at a below-median rate. Debt/EBITDA of 5.1× exceeds the sector median 2.4× by +111%, adding structural weight to that picture, even as the current ratio of 1.63 sits +96% above the median 0.83. Revenue growth and EPS growth both lag the sector, and the F-Score of 6/9 reflects a business holding steady rather than improving. Consensus carries a forward-axis composite of 66/100, though the beat rate is weak and the divergence between analyst forecasts and realized growth is mixed — the market's optimism here rests on a thin track record.
Last quarter's EPS against consensus, plus the estimated date of the next report.
| Ticker | Name | F-Score | ROE | Revenue YoY | Op. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CL | Colgate-Palmolive | 5/9 | 1 603% |
The market prices in earnings growth; analyst sentiment is steady; has not always beaten consensus.
Price against next year's expected earnings. The forward P/E already carries analyst optimism — read it alongside the “Versus consensus” line.
A forward P/E below the current one means the market expects earnings to grow; above it, to fall. The historical growth is realized figures from SEC filings, not a forecast.
The three-month change in the share of positive analyst ratings. This is sentiment, not an earnings-estimate revision, and not a call to act.
When Diageo reports on 2026-11-05, focus on asset turnover and revenue year over year — the F-Score flags 0/2 on efficiency, meaning neither metric cleared the bar last period. A reversal there, alongside any movement in the 27% operating margin, would shift the quality picture meaningfully.
On SEC EDGAR, open Diageo's most recent annual report and read the capital structure section. Debt/EBITDA sits at 2.41×, roughly 2.1× above the sector median — management's discussion should explain the refinancing schedule and whether free cash flow is expected to cover that load.
Pick two or three names from the Consumer Staples table in section 06 and line up one metric — ROIC or Debt/EBITDA works well given DEO's readings of 17.8% and 2.41× respectively. The table is alphabetical with no ranking, so the comparison is yours to frame without a predetermined conclusion.
Steps you can check yourself, based on the figures in this brief.
Piotroski F-Score: nine binary tests of financial strength from the annual report. A ✓ marks a test passed, a dot (·) a test failed.
The context on the right shows how each figure compares with the sector median. The trend below tracks the change over recent fiscal years.
| +1% |
| 16% |
| COST | Costco | 7/9 | 31% | +8% | 4% |
| DEO | Diageo plc | 6/9 | 24% | +0% | 16% |
| GIS | General Mills | 5/9 | -1% | -5% | 5% |
| HSY | Hershey | 4/9 | 19% | +4% | 12% |
| KMB | Kimberly-Clark | 4/9 | 173% | -2% | 14% |
| KO | Coca-Cola | 6/9 | 46% | +2% | 29% |
| KR | Kroger | 6/9 | 14% | +0% | 1% |
| MDLZ | Mondelez | 6/9 | 9% | +6% | 9% |
| MO | Altria | 6/9 | — | -3% | 43% |
| PEP | PepsiCo | 5/9 | 43% | +2% | 12% |
| PG | Procter & Gamble | 6/9 | 30% | +3% | 23% |
| PM | Philip Morris | 7/9 | — | +7% | 37% |
| SYY | Sysco | 6/9 | 99% | +3% | 4% |
| TGT | Target | 6/9 | 24% | -2% | 5% |
| WMT | Walmart | 7/9 | 23% | +5% | 4% |
A sample of 16 companies in the sector including the target, alphabetical, unranked. Data from the latest SEC annual reports.
Rule-based classification of fundamentals against the sector. Not a price forecast and not investment advice.
The last few quarters are recent context, not a fixed rate. Consensus for near quarters is set low, so companies clear it routinely; over long horizons the forecasts run the other way, too high.
A description of what the market and analysts expect. Not a price forecast and not investment advice. Analyst forecasts run systematically optimistic over long horizons — read them with that discount.